RICS surveys suggests a flat housing market over the next 3 months
The latest UK Residential Market Survey from the Royal
Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) has provided some interesting insight
into the Sales and Lettings markets in the lead up to the election and beyond.
Sales Market
In the sales market, there has been a continued decline in
the number of properties coming to the market, the number of sales completing,
and the number of people looking for properties to purchase. The number of
buyers however, continues to far exceed the number of properties available.
Anecdotal evidence would suggest these are two main
contributors to this:
·
The snap election has caused a level of
uncertainty in the market, although this should be less marked than in the past
due to the short period before the election.
·
The second contributor is the changes to stamp
duty starting to take effect, both in the buy-to-let market, but also for
properties at higher price points.
Despite this, house prices have continued to rise, albeit at
a slightly slower rate. This has been driven by the shortage of available
stock, with the number of available stock on estate agents books at near record
lows.
Nevertheless, the twelve month outlook continues to show a
pick-up in sales over the second half of the year.
Lettings Market
In the lettings market, there has been a very similar trend.
A lack of properties coming to the market combined with slowing tenant demand
over the past six months, but with the seasonally adjusted figures for the year
showing a modest rise.
Rents over the coming twelve months are expected to rise
only modestly as tenant demand remains flat.
This last graph illustrates extremely well the shortage of
rental properties coming to the market over the past three months.
Let’s hope there is no “trump effect” following the June 8th
Elections.
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