Private Renting set to grow by 2,400 households in Basingstoke by 2025
I had a very interesting conversation with a developer this
week, whilst we were talking about potential sales and rental values for a new
development in Basingstoke.
(I
am sure you are aware, Martin & Co are always happy to look at any
potential buy to let purchase in Basingstoke that you may be considering, and
advise on suitability and potential rental value. We don't charge for this
service, even if you are not a currently a customer).
We were talking about the Basingstoke Property Market and this developer
brought up the subject of a report he had read from the Royal Institution of
Chartered Surveyors (RICS) and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) that stated almost
1.8m new rental homes are needed by 2025 to keep up with current demand from
tenants. He wanted to know what this meant for Basingstoke.
Some commentators were saying last Winter that buy to let market
was likely to slow down, due in part to the new stamp duty changes and in part
due to the mortgage tax relief changes. Others even said 500,000 rental
properties would flood the market nationally in the 12 months after the new
Stamp Duty rules came into force on the 1st April 2016 as landlords left the
rental market. Well, all I can say is, I wish all the landlords of those half a
million properties would hurry up and put them on the market – because I have
plenty of other potential landlords wanting to buy them!
Back to the matter in hand. If the RICS and PwC are indeed
correct, what does this mean for Basingstoke? The fact is, as a country, we are
facing a precarious rental shortage and need to get Basingstoke building in a
way that benefits a cross-section of Basingstoke society, not just the
fortunate few. I (and many in the property industry) are calling on the Prime
Minister to drop the higher stamp duty tax on buy to let purchases to ease the
pressure on the rental market.
Of the 44,400 households in Basingstoke, currently 13,000
tenants live in 5,400 private rented properties. If we apportion those 1.8m
households equally around the Country, that means in nine years’ time, the number
of rental properties in Basingstoke needs to rise by 2,400 (i.e. 42.8%), taking
the total number of rented properties in the city to 7,800.
That means Basingstoke landlords need to buy around 300
properties a year between now and 2025 to meet that demand – because according
to my calculations, an additional 5,600 people will want to live in all those
'additional' Basingstoke rental properties – so why is the government
penalising landlords?
Thankfully the new housing minister, Gavin Barwell, is saying
"we need to build more homes for every
single type of person needing a home and not focus on one single tenure". The
private rented sector became a target under David Cameron's administration, and
with increasingly unaffordable Basingstoke house prices, the majority of new Basingstoke
households will be relying on the rental sector in the future to house them. I
can only say Westminster must put in place the measures that will allow the
rental sector to flourish. Any restrictions on the supply of rental property
will push up rents (bad news for tenants), thus side-lining those members of Basingstoke
society who are already struggling. Let's hope this new Government continues to
see and value the contribution that landlords give to the country as a whole.
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