New House Building in Basingstoke increased by 20.7% in the last year

 

Speaking frankly, even with Brexit and the promise that immigration numbers will reduce in the coming years, there is an unending and severe shortage of new housing being built in the Basingstoke area (and the UK as a whole).  Even if there is short term confidence (see the latest figures from Halifax and Nationwide), trembles fueled by newspapers hungry for bad news and the ever growing population of Basingstoke with its high demand for property versus curtailed supply of properties being built, may lead to an imbalance of supply/demand and the possibility of even lower interest rates to underpin the property market.

 When the Tories were elected in 2015, David Cameron vowed to build 1,000,000 new homes by 2020.  If we as a Country hit those levels of building, most academics stated the UK Housing market would balance itself as the increased supply of property would give a chance for the younger generation to buy their own home as opposed to rent.  However, the up-to-date building figures show that in the first three months of 2016 building starts were down.  Nationally, there were 35,530 house building starts in the first quarter, a long way off the 50,000 a quarter required to hit those ambitious targets.

 Looking closer to home, over the last 12 months, new building in the Basingstoke and Deane Borough Council area has grown.  In 2014/15, for every one thousand existing households in the area, an additional 3.72 homes were built.  For 2015/16, that figure is now 4.49 homes built per thousand existing households.  Nationally, to meet that 1,000,000 new homes target, we need to be at 7.12 new homes per thousand.

 

To put those numbers into real chimney pots, over the last 12 months, in the Basingstoke and Deane Borough Council area,

·         260 Private Builders (e.g. New Homes Builders)

·         70 Housing Association

·         Nil Local Authority

 

These new house building numbers are down to the fact that not enough is being done to fix the broken Basingstoke housing market.  We are still only seeing 330 new homes being built per year in the Basingstoke and Deane Borough Council area, when we need 523 a year to even stand still!

I am of the opinion that Cameron and Osborne focused their attention too much on the demand side of the housing equation, using the Help to Buy scheme and low deposit mortgages to convert the ‘Generation Rent’ i.e. Basingstoke ‘20 somethings’ who are set to rent for the rest of their lives to ‘Generation Buy’.  On the other side of the coin, I would strongly recommend the new Housing Minster, Gavin Barwell, should concentrate the Government’s efforts on the supply side of the equation.  There needs to be transformations to planning laws, massive scale releases of public land and more investment, as more inventive solutions are needed.

 However, ultimately, responsibility has to rest on the shoulders of Theresa May.  Whilst our new PM has many plates to spin, evading the housing crisis will only come at greater cost later on.  What a legacy it would be if it was Theresa May who finally got to grips with the persistent and enduring shortage of homes to live in.  The PM has already referenced the ‘need to do far more to get more houses built’ and stop the decline of home ownership.  However, she has also ruled out any changes to the green belt policy – something I will talk about in a future up and coming article.  Hopefully these statistics will raise the alarm bells again and persuade both residents and Councilor’s in the Basingstoke and Deane Borough Council area that housing needs to be higher on its agenda.

 In the meantime, for more thoughts and opinion on the Basingstoke Property Market, please visit the Basingstoke Property Blog (http://basingstokeproperty.blogspot.co.uk/).